RESEARCH
Working Papers
The term structure of judgement: interpreting survey disagreement (2024, Bank of Lithuania WP Series No. 123, VoxEU Column), with Žymantas Budrys. Presentations: IAAE 2023, MacroFor Seminar Series (April 2023), Baltic Central Bank Researcher Meeting 2023, EC^(2) 2023, RES 2024, SNDE 2024, RCEA ICEEF 2024, ICMAIF 2024
The why and the how of combining VAR and survey density forecasts, with Marta Bańbura, Joan Paredes and Francesco Ravazzolo, 2024.
(Previously circulated as: Combining Bayesian VAR and survey density forecasts: does it pay off? (2021, ECB WP Series No. 2543), with Marta Bańbura, Joan Paredes and Francesco Ravazzolo. Presentations: ECB (2021), CEF 2021, IAAE 2021, RCEA Time Series Workshop, ISF 2021, ESOBE 2021, IIF 2021, ICMAIF 26, ESOBE 2022, Cleveland FED (2022))
Macro-financial feedbacks through time (2022), with Ferre De Graeve and Raf Wouters. Presentations: International Monetary Fund 2022, CEF 2022, IAAE 2022
Work in Progress
Behind the scenes of expectations: interpreting survey forecasts, draft available upon request.